Energy's Negative Correlation to Equities

by billb 23. March 2009 11:59

It used to be when oil was up, the market was down and vice versa.  Gold, oil and to a certain extent bonds played a great hedge for an equity portfolio.  As the market and commodities flattened in 2008, the correlation between many things didn't hold up.  Everything went down and down hard.  Correlations are starting to return to "normal" as the market quazi stabilizes, or at least as we become accustomed to volatility.  With one exception.  Energy is moving in near lock step with equities.

Have a look.

 

 
These two look like soul mates they're in such sync. This begs a question in my eyes.  When does it go back to "normal".  I'm sure any historically negatively correlated assets move in lockstep over short periods of time.
 
Just an observation I thought I'd share. 

Tags:

ETFs | Markets

Comments

5/8/2009 11:49:14 PM #

Roman Shalagin

Good point you make about correlation. I have a strong believe that in recent years commodity markets have been overun by financial institutions and are used for speculation purposes. So it is subject to the same issues stock market has. During great deleveraging of 2008 when credit was hard to come buy hedge funds had to unwind their positions in both stock market and commodity market. When redemption calls came in they had to do the same. So here is your correlations.

Roman Shalagin United States

7/7/2009 1:15:35 AM #

oil drilling

A stock market is a public market for the trading of company stock and derivatives at an agreed price; these are securities listed on a stock exchange as well as those only traded privately...

oil drilling United States

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